Global Economic Outlook Conference

Register now for Oxford Economics Australia’s bi-annual Economic Outlook Conferences, taking place this March in Sydney, Melbourne, and online.

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Locations & Agenda

Venue: The Pullman Hyde Park, 36 College St, Darlinghurst NSW 2010

  • 9:00 am – 9:30 am | Arrival, Registration and Coffee
  • 9:30 am – 10:00 am | Global Economic Prospects and Risks – Where will we find growth?
  • 10:00 am – 10:30 am | Navigating Australia’s economic slowdown
  • 10:30 am – 11.00 am | Break
  • 11:00 am – 12.00 pm | Taking stock of Australia’s journey to net zero. Where are we at, what’s to come, how do we get there?
  • 12:00 pm – 1.00 pm | Networking – Lunch Break
  • 1:00 pm – 2:00 pm | Is the construction sector heading for a hard landing?
  • 2:00 pm – 2:30 pm | Break
  • 2:30 pm – 3:30 pm | With interest rates nearing a turning point, where to for Australian real estate?
  • 3:30 pm – 4.30 pm | Housing panel discussion | Australia’s housing shortage
  • 4:30 pm Onwards | Cocktail hour

Venue: State Library Victoria, 328 Swanston St, Melbourne VIC 3000

  • 8:00 am – 8:30 am | Arrival, Registration and Coffee
  • 8:30 am – 9:00 am | Global Economic Prospects and Risks – Where will we find growth?
  • 9:30 am – 10:00 am | Navigating Australia’s economic slowdown
  • 10:00 am – 10:30 am | Break
  • 10:30 am – 11.30 am | Taking stock of Australia’s journey to net zero. Where are we at, what’s to come, how do we get there?
  • 11:30 am – 12:15 pm | Networking – Lunch Break
  • 12:15 pm – 1:15 pm | Is the construction sector heading for a hard landing?
  • 1:15 pm – 1:30 pm | Break
  • 1:30 pm – 2:30 pm | With interest rates nearing a turning point, where to for Australian real estate?
  • 2:30 pm – 3:30 pm | Housing panel discussion | Australia’s housing shortage
  • 3:30 pm – 4:00 pm | Networking

Venue: Virtual Event, hosted on GoToWebinar see system requirements

Session 1 | 26th of March 2024

  • 12:00 – 12:45 pm | Welcome Note & Australian Economic Outlook + Q&A
  • 12:45 – 1:30 pm | Climate & Sustainability Outlook + Q&A

Session 2 | 27th of March 2024

  • 12:00-12:45 pm I Real Estate Outlook + Q&A
  • 12.45-2.00 pm I Australian Infrastructure & Construction + Building Outlook + Q&A & Closing

Conference Sessions

9:30 am – 10:00 am

Adrian Cooper will set out the key factors that will drive the economic outlook for 2024 and beyond, including how long the current economic slowdown is likely to last, how quickly underlying inflationary pressures will ease, and the implications for interest rates and financial markets.  Adrian will also highlight the impact of the major risks to the world economy, ranging from climate change and Artificial Intelligence to the US presidential election, geopolitical risks and the intensifying trend towards deglobalisation.

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10:00 am – 10:30 am

The Australian economy is enduring a policy-induced slowdown.  Entering 2024, both fiscal and monetary policy are at or close to the peak drag they will impose on the economy in this cycle. Still, with cost pressures proving to be persistent and elevated, the lingering inflation problem has not yet been cured.

We expect strong population growth will ensure that Australia stays out of recession. But policymakers will need to walk a fine line to ensure cost of living pressures do not overwhelm vulnerable households, inflation returns to target in a timely fashion, and the labour market remains close to capacity.

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11:00 am – 12.00 pm

We’ve taken stock of Australia’s journey towards net zero and the good news is that emissions are dropping. The bad news is that emissions aren’t dropping fast enough.

This session will feature two parts.

Part 1 will explore Australia’s journey towards net zero and consider how we got to our current position and what the future may hold in light of our macroeconomic outlook and current policy settings. The presentation will go beyond aggregate estimates to focus on the sectoral drivers of the climate transition and identify the economic implications of decarbonisation.

Part 2 of the session will provide an update on climate disclosure requirements in Australia. The update will explain the role of scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions and present our assessment of the global supply chain (scope 3) emissions induced by an average Australian retailer compared to a construction company.

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1:00 pm – 2:00 pm

The Australian construction sector is facing a challenging period as costs and capacity constrain activity levels. Publicly funded activity continues to be supported by large investments in transportation and social building projects. With governments and households under pressure to reduce spending, how much further can construction activity grow? What is happening to construction costs from here? Longer term, is Australia setting up for another strong construction cycle?

In this conference we will discuss the outlook for building, engineering, mining, and maintenance activity. We will highlight the states and sectors that have the most promising outlooks from here over the next few years, as well as discussing the broader medium to longer-term issues facing the construction sector, including industry sustainability, capacity and capability, construction costs and funding.

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2:30 pm – 3:30 pm

The run up in interest rates has provided a drag for all asset classes, but other cyclical and structural drivers are becoming more prominent in determining performance.

Underlying demand has been robust in many sectors, backed by the strongest population growth increment on record. Migration is running red hot but should soon normalise. We will unpack what this means for commercial, industrial, and residential assets.

Buoyed by a resilient buy side, residential property in all the major markets brushed off higher borrowing costs over 2023. Moving into 2024, regional discrepancies are growing, and more varied performance is anticipated for both price and rental metrics. There is plenty of action on the policy front to boost housing supply, including planning tweaks and incentives for institutional investors. The implications for affordability will be explored.

Commercial valuations have been hit by a run-up in borrowing costs, and transaction volumes have slowed to a crawl. Some tailwinds are fading while structural headwinds are also impacting key asset classes, notably the rise of hybrid work arrangements and technological change. The landscape is shifting and the when and where of opportunities will be of focus for core and non-core assets.

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3:30 pm – 4.30 pm

Strong population growth is adding materially to underlying housing demand at the same time that elevated building and finance costs limit new supply coming online. This is creating a national dwelling stock deficiency with housing affordability front of mind for policymakers. This panel session will draw on expertise from our housing sector specialists to unpick the various factors at play within the sector and how these are likely to play out over coming years. Importantly, the group will discuss the current policy landscape and provide their view on whether the ambitious supply-side housing schemes will address the issue of housing supply and what further action is required.

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Speakers

Adrian Cooper

Chief Executive Officer

+44 (0) 1865 268 900

Adrian Cooper

Chief Executive Officer

London

Adrian Cooper is responsible for coordinating and managing Oxford Economics’ global economic analysis, forecasting and consultancy activities, and overseeing its global team of over 450 professionals including 300 economists and analysts. He has led Oxford Economics’ work on a wide array of consultancy projects, ranging from policy advice to government departments in Europe, the US, Africa, and Asia to detailed analysis of the economic impact of particular industries and investment proposals.

Adrian spent the first seven years of his career with HM Treasury, England. During this time, he worked on the analysis of tax and other economic policy changes as part of the preparations for the UK Budget. He was also the coordinator of the government’s macroeconomic forecast for two years.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 1994, Adrian was UK economist for James Capel & Company, responsible for analysing and forecasting the UK economy for institutional investors, as well as briefing Capel’s own traders. Adrian was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first-class degree in Economics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he achieved a distinction in the MSc in Economics and won the Ely Devons prize for outstanding performance in the degree examinations.

Emily Dabbs

Head of Macroeconomics Consulting, Oxford Economics

+61 2 8458 4202

Emily Dabbs

Head of Macroeconomics Consulting, Oxford Economics

Sydney, Australia

Emily leads Oxford Economics Australia’s Macro Consulting team. She has over 10 years of economic analysis and consulting experience, focusing on macroeconomic forecast and analysis. Emily regularly provides strategy support and briefings, and presentations to clients and key stakeholders to support a broader understand of the economic environment and the impact on their business.

Sean Langcake

Head of Macroeconomic Forecasting, Oxford Economics

+61 (0) 2 8458 4236

Sean Langcake

Head of Macroeconomic Forecasting, Oxford Economics

Sydney, Australia

David Walker

Managing Director, Oxford Economics Australia

+61 (0) 2 8458 4234

David Walker

Managing Director, Oxford Economics Australia

Australia

David is the Managing Director at Oxford Economics Australia and heads the office for Australia and New Zealand. In August 2013 he moved to Sydney to establish the firm and is continuing to grow the business in this region as well as leading key projects within Australia.

Before moving to Australia David worked as part of Oxford Economics’ business development team in London. Prior to joining Oxford Economics he worked for KPMG as a management consultant, specialising in financial risk management including stress testing and scenario analysis. During this time he was also seconded to the main Financial Services regulatory body, the Financial Services Authority (FSA). He completed his degree in Economics at Nottingham University and also studied the chartered institute for securities investment diploma.

Nicholas Fearnley

Head of Global Construction, Oxford Economics

+61 (0) 2 8458 4262

Nicholas Fearnley

Head of Global Construction, Oxford Economics

Sydney, Australia

Dr Nicholas Fearnley is the Head of Global Construction Forecasting, based in Sydney. Nicholas oversees the teams that produce the various construction, mining, and maintenance studies. He works over the full construction spectrum, and regularly presents and provides commentary for both the construction and mining industries.

Nicholas joined Oxford Economics in 2019 after working at Macromontor, where he was responsible for producing regular Australian building construction forecast reports, and bespoke cost escalation and material demand forecasts. |

Prior to joining Macromonitor, Nicholas completed a PhD at the University of Sydney with a thesis titled: “A Critical and Quantitative Analysis of the Relationship between Informal Institutions and Economic Development.” He was awarded the Walter Noel Gillies Prize for best PhD thesis in Economics, and his thesis was accepted without edits.

Nicholas has undergraduate degrees in both Accounting and Applied Finance from Macquarie University, and a first class honours degree in Accounting from the University of Sydney with a thesis titled: “Culture and the Measurement Decision Offered by Investment Property”.

Timothy Hibbert

Head of Building & Property Forecasting, Oxford Economics

+61 (0) 2 8458 4270

Timothy Hibbert

Head of Building & Property Forecasting, Oxford Economics

Sydney, Australia

Timothy Hibbert leads the property, building, and demographic forecasting at BIS Oxford Economics. He has over 15 years of experience as an industry economist, working across government, consultancy, and subscription services.

Maree Kilroy

Senior Economist, Construction & Property Forecasting, Oxford Economics

+61 (0) 2 8458 4283

Maree Kilroy

Senior Economist, Construction & Property Forecasting, Oxford Economics

Sydney, Australia

Kristian Kolding

Head of Consulting, OE Australia

+61 (4) 1040 9070

Kristian Kolding

Head of Consulting, OE Australia

Sydney, Australia

Kristian leads Oxford Economics Australia’s Consulting team, working with public and private sector leaders to help them prepare for the future by applying relevant economic theory and forecasts to inform effective policy and business strategy development.

Lee Walker

Principal Property Economist, Commercial & Industrial Property

+61 2 8458 4248

Lee Walker

Principal Property Economist, Commercial & Industrial Property

Sydney

Lee has over 20 years experience in researching and forecasting Australian property markets, particularly in non-residential sectors. He is responsible for managing and producing a number of subscription services across Australia’s commercial property markets.

Lee’s current focus is on the Sydney and Perth office property markets, as well as prospects for the Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane industrial property markets. Lee also contributes to consulting work, including the financial evaluation of commercial development, the economic impact of major projects and strategic employment studies.

Ben Udy

Lead Economist, Macroeconomic Forecasting, Oxford Economics

+61 (0) 2 8458 4200

Ben Udy

Lead Economist, Macroeconomic Forecasting, Oxford Economics

Sydney

Adrian Hart

Director, Infrastructure Construction, Oxford Economics

+61 (0) 2 8458 4233

Adrian Hart

Director, Infrastructure Construction, Oxford Economics

Sydney, Australia

Nora Farren

Lead Property Economist

02 8458 4246

Nora Farren

Lead Property Economist

Sydney, Australia

Nora Farren is a Lead Property Economist responsible for the production of both retail market and office sector property forecast reports for Oxford Economics Australia.  She has experience in multiple research methodologies including property economics, market and trading data as well as qualitative and quantitative customer research, with a specialisation in retail property. Nora has worked across a broad range of property organisations including valuation; funds management; agency; listed and consultancy.  She has worked with a broad range of clients including both public and private sector, across multiple asset classes.

Before joining Oxford Economics in 2022, Nora was a Senior Consultant with Macroplan, responsible for providing property market research and strategic advice to clients to support development proposals and project planning.  Prior to that, Nora worked in-house within the research teams at AMP Capital Investors, Mirvac and Lendlease, managing internal data and insights and co-ordinating external market research services. Nora was educated at the University of Western Sydney where she completed her Bachelor of Commerce (Land Economics); and at the Financial Services Institute of Australia where she gained a Graduate Diploma in Applied Finance and Investment.  

Register Now

SydneyMelbourneOnlineOnline
Pullman Sydney Hyde Park
36 College St, Darlinghurst NSW 2010
The Victoria State Library
 328 Swanston St, Melbourne VIC 3000
GoToWebinar
Live and On-Demand
Aus. Economic Outlook + Climate & Sustainability
GoToWebinar
Live and On-Demand
Real Estate & Construction Outlooks
Tuesday 19th March Thursday 21st March Tuesday 26th MarchWednesday 27th March
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Sydney Location

Melbourne Location